Showing posts with label Big 10. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Big 10. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 5, 2021

COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S SURPRISE: OHIO STATE EXACTS REVENGE AND EARNS A SHOT AT ALABAMA

 


What goes around comes around, the old saying

goes and it applies to the college football playoffs. On January 11, Ohio State challenges top ranked Alabama in the national championship game in Miami. The contest teems with redemption and revenge story lines.  Ohio State punched its ticket by winning the  Sugar Bowl New Year’s night over Clemson, 49-28, avenging a narrow, painful
semifinal loss to the Tigers last year. Earlier in the day, Alabama won the Rose Bowl, 31-14, over Notre Dame. The Crimson Tide now seeks to avenge an embarrassing defeat in the finals two years ago.

Ohio State’s stunning shellacking of an uncharacteristically out-of-sorts Clemson team prevented a fifth episode of the Clemson-Alabama playoff series. The teams had met in four of the last five playoffs, with Clemson winning twice (after the 2016 and 2018 seasons) and Alabama twice (after the 2015 and 2017 seasons). The 2015 and 2016 games went to the wire. Each team had a convincing win in the other two games. Many looked forward to a rubber match this year, but now it won’t happen.

 

The Tide rolls

No doubt ever existed about the outcome of the

Alabama-Notre Dame semifinal, technically the Rose Bowl. Because of COVID restrictions, playoff officials moved the game from Pasadena, California to  AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas (a/k/a Jerry World).
Alabama scored on its first three possessions, then kept Notre Dame at bay. Though Notre Dame has improved its lines of scrimmage from earlier post season games when Alabama simply manhandled the Irish, the Tide’s superior speed and playmaking ability made this game no contest.

Alabama may have had better defensive teams,  but its 2020 offense is probably coach Nick Saban’s

best ever. Two players, receiver DeVonta Smith and quarterback Mac Jones, made the Heisman Trophy final four list and a third, running back Nanjee Harris finished fifth. A team with that kind of fire power presents a multitude of problems for
any defense and Notre Dame was no exception. Alabama methodically destroyed Notre Dame’s hopes, rolling up 437 yards of total offense in the process.


Ohio State shocks Clemson

After Clemson easily defeated Notre Dame in

the Atlantic Coast Conference championship game, many college football observers believed Clemson had sent a message that the Tigers were ready to claim their third national championship in five years. Instead, Ohio State played with a monster-sized chip on its shoulder and destroyed the proud Tigers from South Carolina. No team ever gave an opponent more motivation.

To begin with, Ohio State felt it was robbed in last year’s 29-23 semifinal loss. Several critical officiating calls went against the Buckeyes, especially a fumble recovered and returned for a touchdown that was then called an

incomplete  pass.  Second, Clemson coach Dabo Swinney voted Ohio State 11th on his coaches’ poll ballot. Swinney contended the vote wasn’t about Ohio State, but only reflected his view that teams that didn’t play a full schedule didn’t deserve a top ten ranking (Ohio State played only six games because of COVID issues). Nevertheless, it’s difficult to imagine any better bulletin board material, especially for a team already nursing a grudge. Ohio State’s anger fueled a 21-unanswered- points outburst in the second quarter. Clemson never really threatened again. Whenever the Tigers crept closer, Ohio State torched the Clemson defense in return.

 

Ohio State – Alabama

Alabama opened as a seven-point favorite for the championship game. Whether Ohio State can threaten Alabama likely depends on intangibles that may not emerge until game time. Ohio State has weapons, especially

quarterback Justin Fields who regained his touch in the Clemson game. He’d been a strong pre-season Heisman candidate, but had an ordinary year and dropped out of the conversation. Mistake plagued outings against
Indiana and in the Big 10 championship game against  Northwestern drew criticism. Against Clemson, however, he passed for 385 yards and six touchdowns, and demonstrated complete command of the Buckeye offense.

Ohio State controlled Clemson’s superstar

quarterback, Trevor Lawrence, the dead cinch number one pick in the upcoming NFL draft. Lawrence threw for 400 yards, but never seemed in rhythm. Some will blame that on the absence of play-caller/offensive coordinator Tony Elliot, who missed the game because of COVID protocols. When a team loses by three touchdowns, blaming it on the absence of one assistant coach seems a bit much, especially when its defense never stopped the opposition. Can the Buckeyes similarly handle the multi-faceted Alabama offense? Maybe, but nobody else has this year.

Ohio State has nothing to avenge against Alabama. Few expect Ohio State will win, so the Buckeyes could be playing with house money. Except for the mere fact they’re on the national championship stage, no reason exists for the appearance of anything other than a loose, relaxed Ohio State team on January 11.

Alabama, however, has some unfinished
business. The Tide hasn’t won a national championship since the 2017 season (Alabama beat Clemson, 24-6, in the semifinals that year). The next year, Clemson humiliated Alabama in the title game, 44-16. As  for the 2019 season, for the first
time Alabama didn’t even make the four-team playoff. All that seems motivation enough for Alabama to take care of Ohio State this time around.    

Monday, December 2, 2019

PLAYOFF TIME IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL: WHERE ARE WE?


Only a weekend of conference championship games and the final machinations of the College Football Playoff Committee separate us from knowing the participants and seeding in this year’s playoff. The dye is mostly cast. Barring a couple of monumental upsets, we know the possibilities for raising the trophy on January 13 at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans.
         
LSU, Ohio State, Clemson
The top three teams – LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson – sent messages on the last weekend  of the regular season. LSU destroyed Texas A&M, 50-7, expressing its displeasure with the
committee for elevating Ohio State to the number one spot in the rankings. Meanwhile, despite Michigan Coach Jim Harbaugh’s annoyance with post-game
questions about the gap between his program and the Buckeyes, Ohio State’s 56-27 thrashing of the Wolverines for its eighth straight win in the  series showed the size of the gap, whatever the reasons. Clemson, which has been untouchable since a one-point squeaker
September 28 over Mack Brown’s  now bowl eligible North Carolina team, pounded South Carolina, 38-3, despite calling off the dogs early in the fourth quarter. Those three are virtually a lock.  
Even if Georgia beats LSU in the SEC championship game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (Saturday, 12/7, 3:30 ET, CBS), the Bayou Bengals and their likely Heisman quarterback, Joe Burrow, have a spot.
LSU QB Joe Burrow
Ohio State also probably gets in, even with a stumble against Wisconsin in the Big 10 championship game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis (Saturday, 12/7, 8:00 ET, Fox). The Buckeyes beat Wisconsin, 38-7, on October 26, so why worry?
Clemson’s situation differs a little. The defending champions and pre-season No. 1 have taken a lot of grief for that close call at North Carolina and for a seemingly weak overall schedule. They face an ordinary opponent in an unranked, 9-3 Virginia team
in the ACC championship game at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte (Saturday, 12/7, 7:30 ET, ABC). Losing probably would kick Clemson out of the playoff, but that’s a very unlikely eventuality (full disclosure: Rob’s daughter is a former Clemson athlete and he is a Clemson season ticket holder). 

No. 4

The most impactful development the last weekend of the regular season was Auburn’s
48-45 win over Alabama in the Iron Bowl, putting the Crimson Tide out of its misery as to the playoff. Alabama’s loss to LSU left Nick Saban’s team ranked number five and generated much speculation about whether it should get in if one of the top four lost, especially after a hip injury sidelined starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Now, none of that matters.
But who gets the fourth spot, assuming LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson claim the first three? Georgia, Utah, and Oklahoma seem best positioned, with Baylor grasping at straws.
Only Georgia controls its destiny. If the Bulldogs upset LSU in the SEC championship
game, Kirby Smart’s talented, if inconsistent, squad gets in (Georgia lost to that South Carolina team Clemson throttled so easily). But, Georgia has problems, because of injuries and undisciplined play in its 52-7 beat down
of rival Georgia Tech on the last weekend of the regular season. Receiver George Pickens was ejected for throwing a punch and faces suspension for the first half of the LSU game. Georgia’s already missing leading receiver Lawrence Cager. The status of running back D’Andre Swift remains uncertain. 
  
Should Georgia lose, Utah has the best chance of stepping in, assuming the once-
beaten Utes handle Oregon in the Pac 12 championship game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California (Friday, 12/6, 8:00 ET, ABC). But for a late season loss to Arizona State, the Ducks could have been in the picture too. Utah has a dynamic, dual threat quarterback in Floridian Tyler Huntley and could give one of the top 3 a tussle, despite the fact most of country knows little about the Utes.

Oklahoma should be undefeated. The Sooners and quarterback Jalen Hurts, who transferred from Alabama, however, saddled themselves with a 48-41 loss to Kansas State
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_12_Conference
on October 26. The result? Oklahoma needs a second win over Baylor in the Big 12 championship game at AT&T Stadium in Dallas (Saturday, 12/7, 12:00 ET, ABC).The once-beaten Bears had Oklahoma down,28-3 with 11:02 left in the second quarter on November 16, but lost, 34-31.  Baylor ranked ninth in the committee ratings going into the last weekend of the regular season, so everything would have to break perfectly for a hop into the fourth spot, even with a win over Oklahoma.





The Future
Each year’s playoff scramble conjures up thedebate on how many teams the playoff should include. Many want an eight-team
playoff, something leaders of the sport say they may look at when the present television contract expires after the 2025 season.
 
Last year, we suggested an eight-team format giving each champion in the Power Five conferences – ACC, SEC, Big 10, Big 12, and Pac 12 – an automatic spot, with three at large selections, reserving a preference for a “deserving” Group of Five (leagues like the American Athletic Conference, Sun Belt, Conference USA) team. Nothing we’ve seen this year dissuades us from that idea. We still see this as better than the old Bowl Championship Series (BCS) or, heaven forbid, the so-called Mythical Championship when nothing got settled on the field. What we have isn’t perfect, but it’s sure better than that.