As the impeachment trial of President Donald
Trump moves into its
second week, little has occurred that challenges the conventional
wisdom it will end in an acquittal. Almost no cracks have appeared in Trump's wall of 53 loyal Republican senators. Polling shows the public wants testimony from
witnesses like White House Chief-of-Staff Mick Mulvaney, former National Security Advisor John Bolton, and State Secretary Mike Pompeo. The public also supports subpoenaing
executive branch documents Trump ordered withheld.
Whether either occurs remains in
doubt and depends on four Republicans joining 47 Democrats in voting for witnesses and
documents.
Mick Mulvaney |
The slavish devotion Republican senators show for Trump,
quite frankly, stuns us and we debated the possible reasons. We can’t get into
those 53 heads, but we can examine
possible explanations, given what we know
about human nature and the current political
environment. It seems likely different considerations motivate different
senators, so we can’t paint with too broad a brush. Still, we have some ideas.
The Dark Side
Some Republican senators, like some
Democratic senators, operate on raging ideological convictions. As for Trump’s
supporting senators, we see their objectives rooted in troubling, dark motivations.
They
have seen Trump at his worst and like what they see. These
senators will, therefore, do anything necessary for protecting him and the
power he wields. Put bluntly, this group of senators likes, maybe even adores,
Trump’s white nationalism and xenophobia. His “good people on both sides"
response after the
Charlottesville Unite the Right rally in August 2017 provided this
group with confirmation that they had found their man.
Senators in this category no doubt see Trump’s potential
conviction as an existential threat to their way of looking at the world. They
need Trump in office for the support and legitimacy he gives their cause. They
cannot tolerate anything that might take him out of his lofty position. These
senators live in a dark, unredeemable world reflecting the worst in America,
demonstrating that no matter this nation’s greatness, we aren’t a perfect
people.
The Usual Suspects
Much of the attention in the debate
over
witnesses and documents focuses on four or five GOP “moderates” who might break from the team that Trump
coaches and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell quarterbacks. Whenever a
controversial, party-line dispute erupts, the media and some Democrats parade
them around as “getable” – Republican senators
who might jump ship and vote against Supreme Court
nominee or, in the impeachment trial, in favor of issuing subpoenas for
witnesses and documents. Their names are so familiar now as to (almost) not
need repeating here – Susan Collins of Maine, Utah’s Mitt Romney, Cory Gardner of Colorado, Lisa Murkowski from Alaska, and Tennessee’s Lamar Alexander. For all the noise and false hope
they generate, however, almost always they get on board and stick
with the team. Nothing has happened yet in this saga suggesting otherwise though,
as Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer says, “Hope springs eternal.”
Laissez les Bon Temps
Rouler
United States Senator sounds like a good job.
It pays $174,000 a year (median U.S. household
income is about $62K), provides generous health care and retirement benefits,
and offers world-wide travel opportunities. It also comes
with perks -- people
return your phone calls, you appear on television a lot, you get called
“Chairman” if you run a committee. It’s sometimes a springboard to the
presidency. We won’t even get into all the money – making opportunities, above board and otherwise. We assume it’s
the best job many senators ever had or will have. No wonder they work so hard
at getting re-elected.
We’re confident many of Trump’s senators fall into this
category – men and women who’ve recognized how good things are and won’t do
anything that might jeopardize keeping the office. We think these Republicans
have made a calculation – a business decision – that remaining in the senate,
as they so desperately want, requires sticking with Trump. They’ve seen Trump
punish wayward souls with Tweetstorms, insults in the broadcast media, and,
ultimately, primary opponents.
We suspect these senators act only
tangentially for ideological reasons. Sure, one or two things – confirmation of
right-wing federal judges, property rights,
disdain for federal regulation – motivates some of them, but that’s often
secondary. We know they’ve forgotten
traditional Republican fiscal responsibility because they accept Trump’s
historical deficits. They’ve been silent in the face of his coziness with
Vladimir Putin and other human rights violators.
They haven’t promoted democratic values by insisting on a fair impeachment
trial in the senate they control. We wonder how much they value government with
three co-equal branches, defined by a system of checks and
balances.
We also think it unlikely their motivation resides in
dedication to or affection for Trump, or from respect for his intellect and
policy acumen. Many senators reportedly shake their heads at his incompetence
and ignorance of simple issues, while cringing at the difficulty he has with
complex problems.
This cohort of senators – we don’t know its size – most fears
losing their perks. Knowing how Trump treats those who stray, they can’t take
the chance of putting daylight between themselves and the man in the White House. Having made their calculation, they
sit through the trial, listen fretfully to the utterly persuasive case
presented by the House managers, will vote for Trump’s acquittal, then return
to their regularly scheduled lives of privilege. Yes, let the good times roll.