Monday, June 24, 2019

DOUBLE JEOPARDY OR NO JEOPARDY?



More than 1000 former federal prosecutors have publically stated they would prosecute Donald Trump for obstruction of justice were he not President of the United States. Those former prosecutors made that declaration after Special Counsel Robert Mueller decided he couldn’t prosecute Trump because of Justice Department policy. That policy, stated in an October 16, 2000, Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) opinion, prohibits indictment of a sitting President. As long as Trump remains in office, no federal grand jury will hand down charges against him, regardless of the evidence that might otherwise compel such an action.

The OLC policy, which isn’t in the constitution, and a long standing American tradition against prosecuting former political opponents, could combine in assuring the government never prosecutes Trump for the acts spelled out in the Mueller Report. This circumstance carries broad and troubling implications for the rule of law in America. The OLC policy, and that tradition, could mean getting elected President provides a permanent get-out-of-jail-free card for seriously bad actors.

Trump’s Situation
Special Counsel Mueller found ten acts by Trump that might constitute obstruction of justice. Citing the OLC opinion, Mueller declined prosecution but specifically said, “while this report does not conclude that the President committed a crime, it does not exonerate him.” Any fair reading of the Mueller Report recognizes the Special Counsel would have indicted Trump but for the OLC policy. Mueller’s decision, therefore, leaves three options for dealing with Trump’s possible crimes: (1) impeachment and removal from office by Congress, (2) prosecuting him after he leaves office, or (3) letting him slide.

Impeachment, being the ultimate political act, may or
may not happen. No one  currently thinks the Republican Senate will convict Trump. Calls for Trump’s prosecution after his term ends have started, including from House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. The problem lies in that American tradition – we don’t prosecute former Presidents, no matter their crimes in office.

Twice in modern times, the issue has arisen of what to do, after he leaves office, with a President who has committed criminal acts. It also arose in a hypothetical scenario involving Trump and his 2016 opponent, Hillary Clinton. The way the issue has been handled in each case suggests we shouldn’t hold our breath for the possibility of Trump’s post-presidency prosecution.

The History
Richard Nixon resigned before the House impeached him and before the Senate likely convicted him. Out
of office, Nixon faced obstruction of justice charges and perhaps others. Before Special Prosecutor Leon Jaworski could charge Nixon, President Gerald Ford pardoned him for all offenses against the United States. By accepting the pardon, Nixon admitted guilt, but avoided indictment, trial, and possible jail time. Ford issued the pardon in the name of putting Watergate behind the nation, potentially healing America’s wounds. The pardon probably cost Ford re-election in 1976, but he may have achieved his objective of tamping down the furor over Watergate and helping the country move on.

Republicans in the House impeached Bill Clinton in 1998 over his affair with Monica  Lewinsky. The
Senate acquitted him, essentially determining sex isn’t a reason for removing a President from office. But, Clinton didn’t get off without a price. In what amounted to a plea bargain with Independent Counsel Robert Ray that avoided prosecution for perjury and obstruction of justice, Clinton accepted a five-year suspension of his Arkansas law license and paid a $25,000 fine. He also resigned from the U.S. Supreme Court bar.


The Nixon and Clinton experiences, for different
Nixon and Cllinton
reasons, cast doubt on the
possibility of a post-presidency prosecution of Trump. Trump isn’t a lawyer, so he can’t forfeit a law license, but prosecutors might extract fines and business concessions in exchange for not indicting him. A Democratic successor probably won’t pardon him as Ford did for a fellow Republican, but he or she could find other ways of shutting down a prosecution.

The Tradition
In 2016, Trump mused out loud about the possibility,
if elected, of ordering that his  Justice Department prosecute Hillary Clinton over her e-mail scandal. Even Republican-leaning pundits decried such an action, arguing that bringing down the wrath of the criminal justice system on a former opponent better fit a banana republic than a country committed to the rule of law like the United States. It’s just something we don’t do, they said. 

Democratic 2020 Presidential candidates have been reluctant to endorse the idea of prosecuting Trump after he leaves office. They understand the precedent that could set. Prosecuting a former opponent, even one like Trump, opens the possibility of future politically motivated prosecutions for trivial or made-up offenses much more about settling scores than seeking justice.

And the Rule of Law?
Between the OLC policy, which some Democratic candidates say they’d change, and the tradition, it appears the rule of law could lose big. While he’s in office, Trump, if he’s not impeached and convicted, pays no price for his sins. Once he’s out, especially if its 2021 and the statute of limitations hasn’t run on his alleged crimes, his successor may not allow prosecution in the name of preserving our reputation as a nation that doesn’t permit prosecutions of former political opponents.  

So, when does a bad actor President get punished?  What do we mean when we say we are a nation of laws, not people, and no one is above the law? Do we still have the rule of law?  We’re going to have to answer these questions at some point, perhaps the sooner the better.  


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